Blockchain
First Bitcoin ETFs, Now ETH ETFs: Where Will the Market Go?
ETH ETF products are expected to begin trading this summer, fueling ongoing market optimism. Institutional Market Data Provider Kaiko has published a report, predicting that Ethereal will surpass Bitcoin after the launch of spot Ether ETFs. The current conversation is about whether Ethereum will hit $5,000 by the end of 2024. This year, spot ETFs Cryptocurrency ETFs have dominated the market space, attracting billions from investors. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 11 has sparked renewed market optimism, paving the way for Ethereum. The success of Bitcoin products has increased investor interest in Ethereum, pushing cryptocurrency prices to new highs.
Why is the market bullish on the future of Ethereum?
Just as the current web is the result of countless contributions from a wide range of programmers, Ethereum is the product of the innovative efforts of thousands of individuals, each bringing unique ideas to the table. These pioneers are working tirelessly on various aspects of blockchain technology, decentralized applications, smart contractsand more. Their collective ingenuity and dedication are what drives Ethereum’s continued evolution, making it a powerful, decentralized platform that is reshaping industries and paving the way for the future of digital finance and beyond.
Traditional investors are increasingly attracted to Ethereum for its smart contract functionality and the many decentralized applications (dApps) in its ecosystem. The Ethereum ecosystem is home to over 4,000 dApps and millions of smart contracts. With the growing adoption and utility of Layer 2 solutions within the Ethereum ecosystem, these numbers are expected to increase significantly in the coming years.
According to the latest data, the total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum Layer 2 Networks has reached an all-time high of $47 billion, marking a tenfold increase since March of this year. This milestone highlights the growing importance of Layer 2 solutions within the Ethereum ecosystem. Arbitrum One leads the way with a TVL of nearly $19 billion, followed by OP Mainnet and Base, each over $6 billion. Other networks, including Blast, Mantle, Linea, and Starknet, also boast TVLs exceeding $1 billion.
Can Ethereum Reach $5,000 by the End of 2024?
The introduction of ETFs is crucial as they attract institutional investors which bring substantial capital and a long-term investment perspective, thus contributing to market stability. This influx is expected to significantly accelerate the growth of the asset class. Bitcoin ETFs have already created a positive narrative in the market, with over $50 billion invested in 10 newly launched Bitcoin ETFs within five months of their launch.
Institutions that have already invested in Bitcoin ETFs will likely diversify into these newly approved Ethereum ETFs. If Ethereum ETFs are similarly successful, substantial institutional investment combined with bullish speculative trading could push ETH prices to new all-time highs.
According to media sources, VanEck, a global fund manager, has expressed optimism about the future potential of Ethereum Layer 2 networks. The company predicts that these networks could reach a valuation of more than $1 trillion by 2030.
Additionally, Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade, scheduled for Q1 2025, is expected to be a significant milestone for the network. This upgrade will further help Ethereum maintain its leadership in dApps and smart contracts, while advancing the broader blockchain industry.
Building on the success of the Dencun upgrade, Pectra aims to improve the efficiency and functionality of Ethereum through various Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIP), specifically EIP-3074. This proposal introduces features such as batched transactions, allowing users to access a transaction only once regardless of its complexity, thus improving transaction management and wallet usability. Additionally, Pectra aims to simplify network operations, reduce transaction costs, and simplify complexities. A notable aspect of EIP-3074 is its “social recovery” feature, which allows users to recover access to their crypto wallets without relying on seed phrases.
Ethereum has been on a strong bullish trajectory, currently trading around $4,000. Its current momentum suggests it is well positioned to sustain and potentially continue its upward rally.
Overall Positive Signals for the Cryptocurrency Market
With the introduction of Bitcoin and ETH ETFs, the door has opened for more cryptocurrency exchange products, including the potential for a Solana-based ETF. This wave of cryptocurrency ETFs marks a shift in perception, transforming cryptocurrency from an asset perceived solely as a speculative asset to a core component of investment portfolios. Increased involvement from financial institutions adds further credibility to cryptocurrency.
This broader acceptance is expected to drive large-scale adoption and reflect a maturing regulatory environment, which in turn will help legitimize the entire digital asset industry.
(Author Sumit Gupta is a co-founder of CoinDCX. Opinions are personal.)
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, opinions and views provided by experts are personal. They do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
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(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the opinions of www.economictimes.com)
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Blockchain
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crashes as Donald Trump’s Win Odds Dip
Markets received nominally good news on Thursday morning, with the US ISM manufacturing PMI for July falling much more than economists expected, sending interest rates to multi-month lows across the board. Additionally, initial jobless claims in the US jumped to their highest level in about a year. Taken together, the data adds to the sentiment that the US is on the verge of a cycle of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, which is typically seen as bullish for risk assets, including bitcoin.
Blockchain
Terra Blockchain Reboots After Reentry Attack Leads to $4M Exploit
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CoinDesk is a awarded press agency that deals with the cryptocurrency sector. Its journalists respect a rigorous set of editorial policiesIn November 2023, CoinDesk has been acquired from the Bullish group, owner of Bullisha regulated digital asset exchange. Bullish Group is majority owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant digital asset holdings, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial board to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, are eligible to receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.
Blockchain
$6.8M Stolen, ASTRO Collapses 60%
In the latest news in the blockchain industry, there has been a turn of events that has severely affected Terra and its users and investors, with the company losing $6.8 million. The attack, which exploited a reentry vulnerability in the network’s IBC hooks, raises questions about the security measures of the once celebrated blockchain protocol.
A web3 security company, Cyvers Alerts reported that the exploit occurred on July 31st and caused the company to lose 60 million ASTRO, 3.5 million USDC500,000 USDTand 2. 7 BitcoinThe flaw was discovered in April and allows cybercriminals to make payments non-stop by withdrawing money from the network.
Earth’s response
Subsequently, to the hack employed on the Terra blockchain, its official X platform declared the Suspension network operations for a few hours to apply the emergency measure. Finally in its sendTerra’s official account agreed, sharing that its operations are back online: the core transactions that make up the platform are now possible again.
However, the overall value of the various assets lost in the event was unclear.
Market Impact: ASTRO Crashes!
The hack had an immediate impact on the price of ASTRO, which dropped nearly 60% to $0.0206 following the network shutdown. This sharp decline highlights the vulnerability of token prices to security breaches and the resulting market volatility.
This incident is not the first time Terra has faced serious challenges. Earlier this year, the blockchain encountered significant problems that called into question its long-term viability. These repeated incidents underscore the need for stronger security measures to protect users’ assets and maintain trust in the network.
The recent Terra hack serves as a stark reminder of the ongoing security challenges in the blockchain space. As the platform works to regain stability, the broader crypto community will be watching closely.
Read also: Record Cryptocurrency Theft: Over $1 Billion Stolen in 2024
This is a major setback for Terra. How do you think this will impact the blockchain industry?
Blockchain
Luxembourg proposes updates to blockchain laws | Insights and resources
On July 24, 2024, the Ministry of Finance proposed Blockchain Bill IVwhich will provide greater flexibility and legal certainty for issuers using Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT). The bill will update three of Luxembourg’s financial laws, the Law of 6 April 2013 on dematerialised securitiesTHE Law of 5 April 1993 on the financial sector and the Law of 23 December 1998 establishing a financial sector supervisory commissionThis bill includes the additional option of a supervisory agent role and the inclusion of equity securities in dematerialized form.
DLT and Luxembourg
DLT is increasingly used in the financial and fund management sector in Luxembourg, offering numerous benefits and transforming various aspects of the industry.
Here are some examples:
- Digital Bonds: Luxembourg has seen multiple digital bond issuances via DLT. For example, the European Investment Bank has issued bonds that are registered, transferred and stored via DLT processes. These bonds are governed by Luxembourg law and registered on proprietary DLT platforms.
- Fund Administration: DLT can streamline fund administration processes, offering new opportunities and efficiencies for intermediaries, and can do the following:
- Automate capital calls and distributions using smart contracts,
- Simplify audits and ensure reporting accuracy through transparent and immutable transaction records.
- Warranty Management: Luxembourg-based DLT platforms allow clients to swap ownership of baskets of securities between different collateral pools at precise times.
- Tokenization: DLT is used to tokenize various assets, including real estate and luxury goods, by representing them in a tokenized and fractionalized format on the blockchain. This process can improve the liquidity and accessibility of traditionally illiquid assets.
- Tokenization of investment funds: DLT is being explored for the tokenization of investment funds, which can streamline the supply chain, reduce costs, and enable faster transactions. DLT can automate various elements of the supply chain, reducing the need for reconciliations between entities such as custodians, administrators, and investment managers.
- Issuance, settlement and payment platforms:Market participants are developing trusted networks using DLT technology to serve as a single source of shared truth among participants in financial instrument investment ecosystems.
- Legal framework: Luxembourg has adapted its legal framework to accommodate DLT, recognising the validity and enforceability of DLT-based financial instruments. This includes the following:
- Allow the use of DLT for the issuance of dematerialized securities,
- Recognize DLT for the circulation of securities,
- Enabling financial collateral arrangements on DLT financial instruments.
- Regulatory compliance: DLT can improve transparency in fund share ownership and regulatory compliance, providing fund managers with new opportunities for liquidity management and operational efficiency.
- Financial inclusion: By leveraging DLT, Luxembourg aims to promote greater financial inclusion and participation, potentially creating a more diverse and resilient financial system.
- Governance and ethics:The implementation of DLT can promote higher standards of governance and ethics, contributing to a more sustainable and responsible financial sector.
Luxembourg’s approach to DLT in finance and fund management is characterised by a principle of technology neutrality, recognising that innovative processes and technologies can contribute to improving financial services. This is exemplified by its commitment to creating a compatible legal and regulatory framework.
Short story
Luxembourg has already enacted three major blockchain-related laws, often referred to as Blockchain I, II and III.
Blockchain Law I (2019): This law, passed on March 1, 2019, was one of the first in the EU to recognize blockchain as equivalent to traditional transactions. It allowed the use of DLT for account registration, transfer, and materialization of securities.
Blockchain Law II (2021): Enacted on 22 January 2021, this law strengthened the Luxembourg legal framework on dematerialised securities. It recognised the possibility of using secure electronic registration mechanisms to issue such securities and expanded access for all credit institutions and investment firms.
Blockchain Act III (2023): Also known as Bill 8055, this is the most recent law in the blockchain field and was passed on March 14, 2023. This law has integrated the Luxembourg DLT framework in the following way:
- Update of the Act of 5 August 2005 on provisions relating to financial collateral to enable the use of electronic DLT as collateral on financial instruments registered in securities accounts,
- Implementation of EU Regulation 2022/858 on a pilot scheme for DLT-based market infrastructures (DLT Pilot Regulation),
- Redefining the notion of financial instruments in Law of 5 April 1993 on the financial sector and the Law of 30 May 2018 on financial instruments markets to align with the corresponding European regulations, including MiFID.
The Blockchain III Act strengthened the collateral rules for digital assets and aimed to increase legal certainty by allowing securities accounts on DLT to be pledged, while maintaining the efficient system of the 2005 Act on Financial Collateral Arrangements.
With the Blockchain IV bill, Luxembourg will build on the foundations laid by previous Blockchain laws and aims to consolidate Luxembourg’s position as a leading hub for financial innovation in Europe.
Blockchain Bill IV
The key provisions of the Blockchain IV bill include the following:
- Expanded scope: The bill expands the Luxembourg DLT legal framework to include equity securities in addition to debt securities. This expansion will allow the fund industry and transfer agents to use DLT to manage registers of shares and units, as well as to process fund shares.
- New role of the control agent: The bill introduces the role of a control agent as an alternative to the central account custodian for the issuance of dematerialised securities via DLT. This control agent can be an EU investment firm or a credit institution chosen by the issuer. This new role does not replace the current central account custodian, but, like all other roles, it must be notified to the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (CSSF), which is designated as the competent supervisory authority. The notification must be submitted two months after the control agent starts its activities.
- Responsibilities of the control agent: The control agent will manage the securities issuance account, verify the consistency between the securities issued and those registered on the DLT network, and supervise the chain of custody of the securities at the account holder and investor level.
- Simplified payment processesThe bill allows issuers to meet payment obligations under securities (such as interest, dividends or repayments) as soon as they have paid the relevant amounts to the paying agent, settlement agent or central account custodian.
- Simplified issuance and reconciliationThe bill simplifies the process of issuing, holding and reconciling dematerialized securities through DLT, eliminating the need for a central custodian to have a second level of custody and allowing securities to be credited directly to the accounts of investors or their delegates.
- Smart Contract Integration:The new processes can be executed using smart contracts with the assistance of the control agent, potentially increasing efficiency and reducing intermediation.
These changes are expected to bring several benefits to the Luxembourg financial sector, including:
- Fund Operations: Greater efficiency and reduced costs by leveraging DLT for the issuance and transfer of fund shares.
- Financial transactions: Greater transparency and security.
- Transparency of the regulatory environment: Increased attractiveness and competitiveness of the Luxembourg financial centre through greater legal clarity and flexibility for issuers and investors using DLT.
- Smart Contracts: Potential for automation of contractual terms, reduction of intermediaries and improvement of transaction traceability through smart contracts.
Blockchain Bill IV is part of Luxembourg’s ongoing strategy to develop a strong digital ecosystem as part of its economy and maintain its status as a leading hub for financial innovation. Luxembourg is positioning itself at the forefront of Europe’s growing digital financial landscape by constantly updating its regulatory framework.
Local regulations, such as Luxembourg law, complement European regulations by providing a more specific legal framework, adapted to local specificities. These local laws, together with European initiatives, aim to improve both the use and the security of projects involving new technologies. They help establish clear standards and promote consumer trust, while promoting innovation and ensuring better protection against potential risks associated with these emerging technologies. Check out our latest posts on these topics and, for more information on this law, blockchain technology and the tokenization mechanism, do not hesitate to contact us.
We are available to discuss any project related to digital finance, cryptocurrencies and disruptive technologies.
This informational piece, which may be considered advertising under the ethics rules of some jurisdictions, is provided with the understanding that it does not constitute the rendering of legal or other professional advice by Goodwin or its attorneys. Past results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
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