Bitcoin
1 Top Cryptocurrency to Buy Before It Climbs Another $1 Trillion in Market Cap, According to Value Investor Bill Miller IV
Even at its current market cap of $1.3 trillion, Bitcoin may be significantly undervalued.
When it comes to investing in cryptocurrencies, the conventional wisdom is that they are highly risky and highly speculative investments. Popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (Bitcoin -1.13%) reach stratospheric valuations mainly due to investor perceptions of its enormous future growth potential. This means they can be better compared with growth stocksno value stocks.
But what if you’re willing to think outside the box? According to Bill Miller IV, chief investment officer at Miller Value Partners, Bitcoin can also be analyzed as a value stock. And based on the intrinsic value that Miller sees in Bitcoin, he thinks it could be worth many times more than its current market value of $1.3 trillion. He is right?
Bitcoin for value investors?
Obviously, there’s a lot to unpack here. First, there are no real fundamentals to value Bitcoin and therefore there are no real benchmarks or metrics such as price/earnings ratio. Ratios (P/E), to use for comparison. And Bitcoin hardly seems like a cheap and undervalued investment. It has a hefty price tag of $65,000 and is currently trading near an all-time high. In other words, Bitcoin looks much more like a growth stock than a value stock.
But that’s not how Miller sees things. In a recent research note, he outlined the reasons why he still buys Bitcoin. From his point of view, Bitcoin is a worthwhile investment. And it appears to be considerably undervalued relative to its future potential.
As Miller points out, Bitcoin is a superior monetary technology. Thanks to an algorithm that carefully controls the rate of creation of new Bitcoins (as well as their total lifetime supply), Bitcoin is resistant to inflation. Thanks to the decentralized nature of Bitcoin, no monetary authority or government will be able to control it. And thanks to the peer-to-peer nature of Bitcoin’s monetary technology, overall transaction costs should be lower than monetary systems that require a financial intermediary.
And lest you think Miller is late to the Bitcoin game, he has been making similar arguments since 2015. Back then, he and his father Bill Miller (better known as the value investor who beat the S&P 500 for 15 consecutive years) wrote an article called “The Value Investor’s Case for Bitcoin”.
At that time, Bitcoin’s total market value was just $3.4 billion, and the Millers said Bitcoin had a 97.25% chance of total failure. But given the slim chance of success, they said, Bitcoin could be worth significantly more. It turns out that Bitcoin was not a failure and is now worth over $1 trillion.
“It’s early yet”
For the value of Bitcoin to increase by another $1 trillion or more, a number of things need to happen. Bill Miller IV suggests that Bitcoin will need to be used more for payments. Most people these days just own Bitcoin, but as the world’s first cryptocurrency, it was designed to facilitate peer-to-peer payments. Right now, says Miller, Bitcoin represents less than 1% of the global addressable capital market.
Bitcoin will also need to prove its worth as an alternative to gold. Right now, when investors look for a hedge against inflation or geopolitical uncertainty, they typically turn to gold. But Bitcoin’s share of the store of value market is growing and should not be overlooked. In 2022, for example, Goldman Sachs Group (GS 0.03%) suggested that Bitcoin could eventually represent 50% of this market.
The good news, says Miller, is that “it’s still early days.” The reason it is so difficult for many people to understand the intrinsic value of Bitcoin is that it requires a fundamental rethinking of what money is, what capital is, and what role governments should play. Investing in Bitcoin requires not only a leap of faith but also a complete change of mindset, and that takes time.
How much is Bitcoin really worth?
According to Miller, the best monetary technology usually wins, and there is no denying that Bitcoin is an impressive technological advancement. Just as plastic money replaced paper money, digital money can replace analog money. If that is the case, then Bitcoin could easily double, triple, or even quadruple in value. Miller did not give an exact target for Bitcoin, only suggesting it would be “many multiples” of its current value.
While I agree with Miller that Bitcoin is undervalued, I’m still not convinced it’s a worthwhile investment. There is a huge risk involved when you invest in cryptocurrencies, and much of Bitcoin’s growth could take years, if not decades, to fully materialize. To me, it still seems like Bitcoin is a growth investment. Whatever you want to call it, I’m still backing up the truck and loading Bitcoin.
Bitcoin
‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump
Bitcoin has surged again this year under former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.
The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcoinalthough it fell again this week to below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.
Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.
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Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.
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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.
“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”
John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”
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Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.
Forbes Digital Assets
Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.
According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”
The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.
Bitcoin
Large Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Added $5.4 Billion Worth of BTC in July, Data Shows
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Bitcoin
Peter Schiff criticizes Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin hype by U.Today
U.Today – Renowned economist and cryptocurrency critic Peter Schiff has criticized Michael Saylor’s recent hype about the growing adoption of cryptocurrencies as a strategic treasury asset by corporations.
Michael Saylor, a well-known Bitcoin advocate and president of MicroStrategy, recently shared his enthusiasm on X about the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic treasury asset.
Citing a comment made by Bitcoin investor Bill Miller in a recent interview with CNBC, Saylor tweeted: “We now have more companies coming forward and saying we will put Bitcoin on our balance sheet as a strategic treasury asset.”
However, not everyone shares Saylor’s enthusiasm. Schiff, a vocal Bitcoin critic and gold bull, was quick to respond with his usual skepticism. In a pointed tweet, Schiff argued: “Bitcoin is neither strategic nor appropriate as a treasury asset. Companies should not risk shareholder funds. They should pay dividends and let shareholders risk their own money.”
Bitcoin enthusiasts are not intimidated
However, Schiff’s criticism shouldn’t deter Bitcoin enthusiasts, who often take Schiff’s words with a pinch of salt. To put things in context, Michael Saylor began buying Bitcoin in 2020 as an inflation hedge and alternative to money. Saylor’s company, MicroStrategy, is among the largest public holders of Bitcoin in the world. As of June 20, it held 226,331 BTC, purchased for around $8.33 billion at an average price of $36,798.
Over the weekend, Schiff was surprised when 87% of the more than 11,000 Bitcoin holders who responded to his X survey said they would not sell any of their Bitcoin even if the price dropped more than 99% to $120. They said not only would they not sell, but that they would continue to buy even when prices dropped.
Schiff unexpectedly revealed that “the main selling point for investors to buy Bitcoin is its excellent past performance record.”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,067, having reached all-time highs of nearly $74,000 in mid-March.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Falls as ETF Flows Reverse, Mt. Gox Moves Billions
In a week of drastic fluctuations, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has retreated from its highs and is currently trading at US$66,250, down 0.9% in European trading.
This volatility comes on the heels of a significant surge above $70,000 earlier in the week, fueled by former President Donald Trump’s ambitious cryptocurrency plans announced in a Bitcoin Conference in Nashville.
Trump’s announcement to fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler and establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve if elected president has temporarily sent the cryptocurrency market into a frenzy.
However, the excitement was short-lived as a series of events unfolded which caused investor sentiment to sour.
A significant sell-off of about 8% was triggered when the US Marshals Service moved $2 billion in Bitcoin for new wallets.
This move has reignited fears of a potential large-scale liquidation, compounded by lingering concerns over a possible Bitcoin liquidation from Mt. Gox. Early this morning, Mt. Gox administrator transferred US$2.2 billion value of your BTC assets in a new wallet.
Meanwhile, the US Bitcoin ETF spot market is showing signs of fluctuation, according to data from SoSo Value. On July 30, Bitcoin spot funds experienced their first net outflow in five days, totaling $18.3 million.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw outflows of $73.6 million, while the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) attracted $74.9 million in inflows. But outflows from other funds left the category in the red at the end of Tuesday’s trading session. The total net asset value of spot Bitcoin ETFs currently stands at a substantial $58.5 billion.
In other crypto news, Ripple (XRP) is up 8.6% in the past 24 hours, hitting over 64 cents – its highest point since March 25, according to CoinGecko. data.
This rally comes amid a scheduled token unlock and growing optimism around a potential deal in the long-running SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit.
The crypto community is closely watching the SEC’s actions, particularly its intention to amend its complaint against Binance regarding “Third-Party Cryptocurrency Securities,” which some interpret as a positive sign for Ripple.
On a market analysis noteSingapore-based cryptocurrency trading desk QCP Capital wrote that while election headlines continue to dominate, several crucial macroeconomic events loom on the horizon.
“Election headlines will continue to be a key focus, but several key macroeconomic events are also on the horizon. Key events starting with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, megacap tech earnings (Apple, Amazon, Meta) throughout the week, and unemployment data on Friday,” QCP Capital wrote.
Edited by Stacy Elliott.
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