News
Bitcoin Could Reach $500,000 by October 2025, According to This Billionaire Investor
During the first six months of 2024, you’ve probably heard all sorts of ultra-bullish predictions about where the price of Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) could be next. International bank Standard Chartered, for example, now thinks Bitcoin could rise to $150,000 by the end of 2024.
This price target is aggressive, but it may not be aggressive enough. Billionaire venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya thinks so Bitcoin it could reach $500,000 by October 2025. According to Palihapitiya, two key catalysts could make this happen.
The halving of Bitcoin
The primary catalyst for rapid price appreciation is the halving. Bitcoin recently had its fourth halving on April 19, and the current expectation is that this event will unlock massive value over the next year.
Image source: Getty Images.
At each halving, the reward paid to Bitcoin miners is halved. This may not seem like a big deal (unless you are a Bitcoin miner), but it has profound implications for the price of Bitcoin. First, the halving increases the scarcity of Bitcoin. Secondly, it also reinforces the anti-inflationary nature of Bitcoin, making it even more sought after as a hedge against inflation.
It is the combination of these two factors that has led to truly stratospheric returns for Bitcoin in previous halving cycles. In May 2020, for example, Bitcoin rose from a price of around $8,800 to a (then) all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021.
To model Bitcoin’s future price performance, Palihapitiya analyzed Bitcoin’s price performance over different time frames of the 2020 halving cycle. Over the course of the first three months, Bitcoin’s price “only” increased by a multiple of 1.37x, as investors tried to understand what was happening to Bitcoin. But as the effects of the halving began to manifest, the price of Bitcoin increased by a multiple of 6.51x in 12 months and 7.8x in 18 months.
Using these numbers, Palihapitiya says it’s possible to construct a potential timeline of how Bitcoin’s price might rise during the 2024 halving cycle. We can likely expect Bitcoin’s price to trade largely sideways for much of the summer . This marks the first three months of the cycle. But the price of Bitcoin may start to rise as we approach the fall and winter. By next April, the price of Bitcoin could be on track to reach $500,000.
Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Just because Bitcoin behaved a certain way four years ago is no guarantee that it will behave the same way today. To some extent, Palihapitiya recognizes this. Given even larger price increases in the 2012 and 2016 halving cycles, Palihapitiya focused only on the 2020 halving cycle to keep price estimates as conservative as possible.
The story continues
Bitcoin as a reserve asset
The second key factor is Bitcoin’s growing opportunity to become a global reserve asset. According to Palihapitiya, non-Western nations are increasingly likely to become a “dual currency.” This means they will choose to hold both their national currencies and Bitcoin.
You’re probably thinking: why would a nation want to hold Bitcoin when it can hold US dollars? Well, let’s consider the plight of the dollar. The United States is adding $1 trillion in new debt every 100 days, and its budget deficits are becoming worrisome. The more debt the United States takes on, the more money it has to print and the less valuable the dollar becomes. Palihapitiya refers to this as the “dollar devaluation” process.
Given this context, it is possible to understand why some non-Western nations may no longer want to hold dollars. Case in point: Saudi Arabia is rethinking its petrodollar deal with the United States. This 50-year-old agreement is undoubtedly one of the most important pillars of the modern global economy. It forces everyone in the world to buy dollars to buy oil and ensures constant demand for US debt.
If nations around the world start holding fewer dollars, this could open the door to Bitcoin. Add in the fact that many institutional investors now view Bitcoin as a form of “digital gold,” and it’s easy to see the path to Bitcoin becoming a reserve asset. At some point, Palihapitiya thinks Bitcoin could completely replace gold.
How likely is this scenario?
While it is possible to poke holes in the thesis that “Bitcoin halving leads to huge price increases,” even skeptics have to admit that this time there is something fundamentally new with the 2024 halving. This is the first This is the first time we have had spot Bitcoin ETFs and this could make all the difference. Any selling pressure in the cryptocurrency market could be offset by new investor flows into ETFs.
As a result, I am still bullish on Bitcoin, despite its recent lackluster performance following the April halving. If things go according to plan, cryptocurrency investors could have a lot to celebrate in 2025.
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Bitcoin Could Reach $500,000 by October 2025, According to This Billionaire Investor was originally published by The Motley Fool
News
Cryptocurrency Price August 1: Bitcoin Dips Below $65K; Solana, XRP Down Up To 8%
Major cryptocurrencies fell in Thursday trading following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep its key interest rate unchanged. Overnight, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate at 5.25-5.5% for the eighth consecutive time, as expected, while also signaling the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting in September. The unanimous decision by the Federal Open Market Committee reflects a continued wait-and-see approach as it monitors inflation trends.
CoinSwitch Markets Desk said: “Bitcoin has fallen below $65,000 after the US Federal Reserve announced it would keep interest rates unchanged. However, with markets now anticipating rate cuts at the next Federal Reserve meeting in September, the outlook for a Bitcoin rally by the end of the year has strengthened.”
Meanwhile, CoinDCX research team said: “The crypto market has plunged after the Fed decision. Tomorrow’s US unemployment rate announcement is expected to induce more volatility, with the ‘actual’ figure coming in higher than the ‘expected’ one, which is positive for cryptocurrencies.”
At 12:21 pm IST, Bitcoin (BTC) was down 3.2% at $64,285, while Ethereum was down nearly 4.5% at $3,313. Meanwhile, the global market cryptocurrency The market capitalization fell 3.6% to around $2.3 trillion in the last 24 hours.
“Bitcoin needs to clear its 200-day EMA at $64,510 to consolidate further. Otherwise, a retest of $62,000 could be in the cards,” said Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus.
Altcoins and meme coins, such as BNB (3%), Solana (8%), XRP (5.7%), Dogecoin (5%), Cardano (4.6%), Avalanche (4.3%), Shiba Inu (3.8%), Polkadot (3.4%), and Chainlink (4%) also saw declines.
The volume of all stablecoins is now $71.64 billion, which is 92.19% of the total cryptocurrency market volume in 24 hours, according to data available on CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s dominance is currently 54.99%. BTC volume in the last 24 hours increased by 23.3% to $35.7 billion.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, opinions and views provided by experts are personal. They do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
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Altcoins WIF, BONK, RUNE, JUP Down 10% While Bitcoin Drops 4%
Altcoins dogwifhat, Bonk, THORChain, and Jupiter have suffered losses of more than 10%, while Bitcoin is down 4% in the last 24 hours.
After a period of relative calm yesterday, July 31, Bitcoin (BTC) price action has seen a drastic change as the cryptocurrency dropped by more than $3,500, bringing its value to $63,300. At the same time, altcoins mirrored this trend, with the total value of liquidated positions rising to nearly $225 million over the course of the day.
Initially, the week started on a positive note for Bitcoin, which reached its highest point since early June, hitting $70,000. However, this peak was short-lived, as it was quickly rejected, leading to a substantial decline, with Bitcoin falling below $65,500.
The cryptocurrency managed to regain some stability, trading comfortably at around $66,800. However, following a Press conference According to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, the value of Bitcoin has fallen again to $64,300, down more than 3% in 24 hours.
BTC Price Chart 24 Hours | Source: crypto.news
The recession coincided with a relationship from the New York Times stating that Iran had called for retaliatory measures against Israel following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, increasing the risk of further conflict in the region.
Meanwhile, on the economic front, the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rates in place, offering little information on a planned September rate cut. Powell also hinted that while no concrete decisions have been made on the September adjustment, there is growing consensus that a rate cut is likely.
Amid Bitcoin’s decline, altcoins have suffered even more significant losses. For example, dogwifhat (Wife) saw a 12.4% drop and (DISGUST) has suffered a 10% drop. Other altcoins such as THORChain (RUNE) also fell by 10%, while Jupiter (JUPITER) and the Ethereum naming service (ENS) decreased by 8% and 9% respectively.
Among the largest-cap cryptocurrencies, the biggest losers are Solana (SOL) with a decrease of 8%, (Exchange rate risk) down 6%, Cardano (ADA) down 4%, and both Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE) recording a decrease of 4.4%.
Data from CoinGlass indicates that approximately 67,000 traders have been negatively impacted by this increased volatility. BTC positions have seen $61.85 million in liquidations, while ETH positions have faced $61 million. In total, the value of liquidated positions stands at $225.4 million at the time of writing.
News
Riot Platforms Sees 52% Drop in Bitcoin Production in Q2
Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms has released its second-quarter financial results, highlighting a decline in cryptocurrency mined due to the recent halving.
Colorado-based Bitcoin (BTC) mining company Riot platforms revealed its second quarter financial results, highlighting a significant reduction in mined cryptocurrencies attributed to the recent halving event that took place in early April.
The company reported total revenue of $70 million for the quarter ended July 31, a decline of 8.7% compared to the same period in 2023. Riot Platforms attributed the revenue decline primarily to a $9.7 million decrease in engineering revenue, which was partially mitigated by a $6 million increase in Bitcoin extraction income.
During the quarter, the company mined 844 BTC, representing a decline of over 50% from Q2 2023, citing the halving event and increasing network difficulty as major factors behind the decline. Riot Platforms reported a net loss of $84.4 million, or $0.32 per share, missing Zacks Research forecast a loss of $0.16 per share.
Halving increases competitive pressure
The Colorado-based firm said the average cost of mining one BTC in the second quarter, including energy credits, rose to $25,327, a remarkable 341% increase from $5,734 per BTC in the same quarter of 2023. Despite this significant increase in production costs, the firm remains optimistic about maintaining competitiveness through recent deals.
For example, following the Recent acquisition Cryptocurrency firm Block Mining, Riot has increased its distributed hash rate forecast from 31 EH/s to 36 EH/s by the end of 2024, while also increasing its 2025 forecast from 40 EH/s to 56 EH/s.
Riot Platforms Hashrate Growth Projections by 2027 | Source: Riot Platforms
Commenting on the company’s financials, Riot CEO Jason Les said that despite the halving, the mining company still managed to achieve “significant operational growth and execution of our long-term strategy.”
“Despite this reduction in production available to all Bitcoin miners, Riot reported $70 million in revenue for the quarter and maintained strong gross margins in our core Bitcoin mining business.”
Jason Les
Following its Q2 financial report, Riot Platforms shares fell 1.74% to $10.19, according to Google Finance data. Meanwhile, the American miner continues to chase Canadian rival Bitfarms, recently acquiring an additional 10.2 million BITF shares, increasing its stake in Bitfarms to 15.9%.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Riot was the first announced a $950 million takeover bid for Bitfarms in late May, arguing that Bitfarms’ founders were not acting in the best interests of all shareholders. They said their proposal was rejected by Bitfarms’ board without substantive engagement.
In response, Bitfarms She said that Riot’s offer “significantly understates” its growth prospects. Bitfarms subsequently implemented a shareholder rights plan, also known as a “poison pill,” to protect its strategic review process from hostile takeover attempts.
News
Aave Price Increases Following Whales Accumulation and V3.1 Launch
Decentralized finance protocol Aave is seeing a significant spike in whale activity as the market looks to recover from the recent crash that pushed most altcoins into key support areas earlier this week.
July 31, Lookonchain shared details indicating that the whales had aggressively accumulated Aave (AAVE) over the past two days. According to the data, whales have withdrawn over 58,848 AAVE worth $6.47 million from exchanges during this period.
In one instance, whale address 0x9af4 withdrew 11,185 AAVE worth $1.23 million from Binance. Meanwhile, another address moved 21,619 AAVE worth over $2.38 million from the exchange and deposited the tokens into Aave.
These withdrawals follow a previous transfer of 26,044 AAVE from whale address 0xd7c5, amounting to over $2.83 million withdrawn from Binance.
AAVE price has surged over 7% in the past 24 hours amid buy-side pressure from these whales. The DeFi token is currently trading around $111 after jumping over 18% in the past week.
Recently, the price of AAVE increased by over 8% after Aave founder Marc Zeller announced a proposed fee change aimed at adopting a buyback program for AAVE tokens.
Aave v3.1 is available
The total value locked in the Aave protocol currently stands at around $22 billion. According to DeFiLlamaApproximately $19.9 billion is on Aave V3, while the V2 chain still holds approximately $1.9 billion in TVL and V1 approximately $14.6 million.
Aave Labs announced Previously, Aave V3.1 was made available on all networks with active Aave V3 instances.
V3.1 features improvements that are intended to improve the overall security of the DeFi protocol. The Aave DAO governance has approved the v3.1 improvements, which also include operational efficiency and usability for the network.
Meanwhile, Aave Labs recently outlined a ambitious roadmap for the projectwith a 2030 vision for Aave V4, among other developments.
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