News
How it will affect cryptocurrency markets
A critical data release is imminent and has the potential to shake up the cryptocurrency market in a big way. This isn’t your average economic report – this information could mean the difference between skyrocketing profits and unexpected losses for your cryptocurrency holdings.
Is it time to celebrate or prepare for impact? Read on to find out!
1. US inflation indices: a brief introduction
US inflation indices measure changes in the prices of goods and services over time. They provide valuable data for understanding inflationary trends in the economy. These indices help policymakers, businesses and individuals evaluate the rate of inflation and its impact on purchasing power and overall economic stability.
2. Key inflation indices will be released soon
Here are the main inflation indices that will be published this month.
- US core inflation rate on a monthly basis
It measures the monthly change in overall prices, excluding volatile food and energy costs, providing insight into underlying trends in inflation.
- US core inflation rate year-on-year
It tracks year-over-year changes in core inflation, offering a long-term view of price stability, unaffected by short-term fluctuations in food and energy prices.
It reflects the monthly change in overall consumer prices, including food and energy, capturing short-term fluctuations in inflationary pressures.
It indicates the year-over-year change in overall consumer prices, providing a broader perspective on inflation trends, inducing long-term effects.
It measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, which represents the overall cost of living.
Seasonally adjusted version of the CPI, which eliminates the effects of seasonal variations and offers a clearer view of underlying inflation trends.
It tracks changes in prices received by producers for goods and services, serving as an indicator of inflationary pressures in the production process.
It measures the monthly change in producer prices, providing information on short-term fluctuations in production costs for producers.
It indicates the monthly change in producer prices, excluding the volatility of food and energy costs, giving a clearer picture of underlying inflationary pressures in manufacturing.
It tracks year-over-year changes in key producer prices, providing a long-term view of inflationary trends in the manufacturing sector, unaffected by short-term fluctuations.
3. Historical analysis of the main inflationary indices
Let’s do a historical analysis of each inflation index.
3.1. US Core Inflation Rate Monthly: Historical Analysis
At the beginning of the year, the monthly US core inflation rate was approximately 0.392%. In February it recorded a decline to 0.358%. In March it increased slightly to 0.359%. The forecast is that this month it will be 0.3%.
3.2. US core inflation rate year-on-year: historical analysis
At the start of the year, the year-over-year U.S. core inflation rate was approximately 3.9%. In February it fell to 3.8%. In March it recorded no changes and remained around 3.8%. The forecast is that it will fall further to 3.7%.
3.3. US monthly inflation rate: historical analysis
In January 2024, the inflation rate in the United States was around 0.3%. It recorded a notable increase in February, when it went from 0.3% to 0.4%. In March it showed no change, having remained at the 0.4% level. The forecast is for it to fall to 0.3% this month.
3.4. US Inflation Rate YoY: Historical Analysis
In January 2024, the year-over-year U.S. inflation rate was approximately 3.1%. In February it increased slightly to 3.2%. In March it increased sharply to 3.5%. The forecast is that it will remain at the 3.5% level this month too.
3.5. US CPI: historical analysis
In January 2024, the US CPI was approximately 308,417 points. Since then its growth has been constant. In February it reached the level of 310,326 points and in March it touched the level of 312,332 points. The forecast is that this month it will exceed 313.9 points.
3.6. US CPI sa: historical analysis
In January 2024, the US consumer price index was nearly 309,685 points. The rate has been steadily increasing since then. In February it exceeded the threshold of 311,064 points. In March it reached the level of 312.23 points. The forecast is that the trend will continue like this, pushing it up to the threshold of 313.2 points.
3.7. US PPI: historical analysis
In January 2024, the US PPI was approximately 142,676 points. February saw a sharp increase, going from 142,676 to 143,466, quickly. The trend also continued in March, when it reached the level of 143,687 points. The forecast is that there will be no change in trend and the level of 143.9 points will even be reached.
3.8. US PPI MoM: historical analysis
In January 2024, US PPI MoM was nearly 0.4%. In February it increased sharply to 0.6%. In March, however, it recorded a sharp decline, when it went from 0.6% to 0.2%. The forecast is that this month too it will remain around 0.2%.
3.9. US Core PPI Monthly: Historical Analysis
In January 2024, the US Core PPI MoM was 0.5%. It has been steadily decreasing since then. In February it had fallen to 0.3%. In March it reached 0.2%, marking a sharp decline from 0.5% in January. The forecast is that this month too it will remain around 0.2%.
3.10. US Core PPI YoY: Historical Analysis
In January 2024, the year-over-year U.S. core PPI was nearly 2%. Since then its increase has been constant. In February it reached the 2.1% range. In March it reached 2.4%. The forecast is that this time it will be around 2.4%.
4. US Inflation Indexes Provide Insights into the Future Prospects of Cryptocurrencies: A Predictive Analysis
Historical analysis of major inflationary indices in the United States provides valuable insights into the future prospects of the cryptocurrency market. Looking at the trends:
- US core inflation rate monthly and yearly
Stable core inflation rates indicate economic stability. If future rates match predictions, this would likely support confidence in the cryptocurrency market. However, if rates were to fall, this could lead to a slight decline in enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflation. Conversely, a rise could spur demand for cryptocurrencies, particularly as a hedge against inflation, potentially driving prices higher.
- US inflation rate on a monthly and yearly basis
Similar to core inflation, overall inflation rates show stability. If future rates were in line with predictions, it would likely maintain confidence and stability in the cryptocurrency market. A decrease in inflation rates could have a slight dampening effect on enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies, while an increase could strengthen the attractiveness of cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflation, potentially increasing demand and price.
Steady growth in the consumer price index signals healthy demand. If the next CPI levels meet predictions, it would mean continued growth and stability in the cryptocurrency market. A decrease in CPI levels could indicate an economic slowdown, leading to minor corrections in cryptocurrency prices. Conversely, rising consumer price index levels could strengthen the case for cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflation, potentially driving up demand and prices.
The mixed trend in the producer price index suggests economic uncertainty. If the upcoming PPI levels match predictions, uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market may persist. A decrease in PPI levels could increase investor confidence in cryptocurrencies, leading to moderate price increases. Conversely, a rise in PPI levels could increase uncertainty, prompting cautious investment and potential shifts into more stable assets.
The stability of the main producer price index indicates confidence in economic fundamentals. If the upcoming Core PPI levels align with forecasts, it would likely strengthen confidence in the cryptocurrency market. A decrease in core PPI levels could ease inflationary pressure, resulting in moderate cryptocurrency price adjustments. Conversely, an increase could raise concerns about inflationary risks, potentially impacting demand and prices for cryptocurrencies.
Final note
The upcoming inflation data is set to be a turning point for the cryptocurrency market.
Stable or expected trends in core inflation rates, headline inflation rates, consumer price indices, and producer price indices will likely maintain confidence and stability in the cryptocurrency market. However, deviations from these forecasts could lead to adjustments in investor sentiment and potentially impact demand and prices in the cryptocurrency sector.
Will they signal economic stability and increase confidence in cryptocurrencies, or will they spark uncertainty and price fluctuations? Stay tuned.
Also check: Tether and RAK DAO join forces to promote Bitcoin and stablecoin education in the UAE
News
Cryptocurrency Price August 1: Bitcoin Dips Below $65K; Solana, XRP Down Up To 8%
Major cryptocurrencies fell in Thursday trading following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep its key interest rate unchanged. Overnight, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate at 5.25-5.5% for the eighth consecutive time, as expected, while also signaling the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting in September. The unanimous decision by the Federal Open Market Committee reflects a continued wait-and-see approach as it monitors inflation trends.
CoinSwitch Markets Desk said: “Bitcoin has fallen below $65,000 after the US Federal Reserve announced it would keep interest rates unchanged. However, with markets now anticipating rate cuts at the next Federal Reserve meeting in September, the outlook for a Bitcoin rally by the end of the year has strengthened.”
Meanwhile, CoinDCX research team said: “The crypto market has plunged after the Fed decision. Tomorrow’s US unemployment rate announcement is expected to induce more volatility, with the ‘actual’ figure coming in higher than the ‘expected’ one, which is positive for cryptocurrencies.”
At 12:21 pm IST, Bitcoin (BTC) was down 3.2% at $64,285, while Ethereum was down nearly 4.5% at $3,313. Meanwhile, the global market cryptocurrency The market capitalization fell 3.6% to around $2.3 trillion in the last 24 hours.
“Bitcoin needs to clear its 200-day EMA at $64,510 to consolidate further. Otherwise, a retest of $62,000 could be in the cards,” said Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus.
Altcoins and meme coins, such as BNB (3%), Solana (8%), XRP (5.7%), Dogecoin (5%), Cardano (4.6%), Avalanche (4.3%), Shiba Inu (3.8%), Polkadot (3.4%), and Chainlink (4%) also saw declines.
The volume of all stablecoins is now $71.64 billion, which is 92.19% of the total cryptocurrency market volume in 24 hours, according to data available on CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s dominance is currently 54.99%. BTC volume in the last 24 hours increased by 23.3% to $35.7 billion.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, opinions and views provided by experts are personal. They do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
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News
Altcoins WIF, BONK, RUNE, JUP Down 10% While Bitcoin Drops 4%
Altcoins dogwifhat, Bonk, THORChain, and Jupiter have suffered losses of more than 10%, while Bitcoin is down 4% in the last 24 hours.
After a period of relative calm yesterday, July 31, Bitcoin (BTC) price action has seen a drastic change as the cryptocurrency dropped by more than $3,500, bringing its value to $63,300. At the same time, altcoins mirrored this trend, with the total value of liquidated positions rising to nearly $225 million over the course of the day.
Initially, the week started on a positive note for Bitcoin, which reached its highest point since early June, hitting $70,000. However, this peak was short-lived, as it was quickly rejected, leading to a substantial decline, with Bitcoin falling below $65,500.
The cryptocurrency managed to regain some stability, trading comfortably at around $66,800. However, following a Press conference According to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, the value of Bitcoin has fallen again to $64,300, down more than 3% in 24 hours.
BTC Price Chart 24 Hours | Source: crypto.news
The recession coincided with a relationship from the New York Times stating that Iran had called for retaliatory measures against Israel following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, increasing the risk of further conflict in the region.
Meanwhile, on the economic front, the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rates in place, offering little information on a planned September rate cut. Powell also hinted that while no concrete decisions have been made on the September adjustment, there is growing consensus that a rate cut is likely.
Amid Bitcoin’s decline, altcoins have suffered even more significant losses. For example, dogwifhat (Wife) saw a 12.4% drop and (DISGUST) has suffered a 10% drop. Other altcoins such as THORChain (RUNE) also fell by 10%, while Jupiter (JUPITER) and the Ethereum naming service (ENS) decreased by 8% and 9% respectively.
Among the largest-cap cryptocurrencies, the biggest losers are Solana (SOL) with a decrease of 8%, (Exchange rate risk) down 6%, Cardano (ADA) down 4%, and both Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE) recording a decrease of 4.4%.
Data from CoinGlass indicates that approximately 67,000 traders have been negatively impacted by this increased volatility. BTC positions have seen $61.85 million in liquidations, while ETH positions have faced $61 million. In total, the value of liquidated positions stands at $225.4 million at the time of writing.
News
Riot Platforms Sees 52% Drop in Bitcoin Production in Q2
Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms has released its second-quarter financial results, highlighting a decline in cryptocurrency mined due to the recent halving.
Colorado-based Bitcoin (BTC) mining company Riot platforms revealed its second quarter financial results, highlighting a significant reduction in mined cryptocurrencies attributed to the recent halving event that took place in early April.
The company reported total revenue of $70 million for the quarter ended July 31, a decline of 8.7% compared to the same period in 2023. Riot Platforms attributed the revenue decline primarily to a $9.7 million decrease in engineering revenue, which was partially mitigated by a $6 million increase in Bitcoin extraction income.
During the quarter, the company mined 844 BTC, representing a decline of over 50% from Q2 2023, citing the halving event and increasing network difficulty as major factors behind the decline. Riot Platforms reported a net loss of $84.4 million, or $0.32 per share, missing Zacks Research forecast a loss of $0.16 per share.
Halving increases competitive pressure
The Colorado-based firm said the average cost of mining one BTC in the second quarter, including energy credits, rose to $25,327, a remarkable 341% increase from $5,734 per BTC in the same quarter of 2023. Despite this significant increase in production costs, the firm remains optimistic about maintaining competitiveness through recent deals.
For example, following the Recent acquisition Cryptocurrency firm Block Mining, Riot has increased its distributed hash rate forecast from 31 EH/s to 36 EH/s by the end of 2024, while also increasing its 2025 forecast from 40 EH/s to 56 EH/s.
Riot Platforms Hashrate Growth Projections by 2027 | Source: Riot Platforms
Commenting on the company’s financials, Riot CEO Jason Les said that despite the halving, the mining company still managed to achieve “significant operational growth and execution of our long-term strategy.”
“Despite this reduction in production available to all Bitcoin miners, Riot reported $70 million in revenue for the quarter and maintained strong gross margins in our core Bitcoin mining business.”
Jason Les
Following its Q2 financial report, Riot Platforms shares fell 1.74% to $10.19, according to Google Finance data. Meanwhile, the American miner continues to chase Canadian rival Bitfarms, recently acquiring an additional 10.2 million BITF shares, increasing its stake in Bitfarms to 15.9%.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Riot was the first announced a $950 million takeover bid for Bitfarms in late May, arguing that Bitfarms’ founders were not acting in the best interests of all shareholders. They said their proposal was rejected by Bitfarms’ board without substantive engagement.
In response, Bitfarms She said that Riot’s offer “significantly understates” its growth prospects. Bitfarms subsequently implemented a shareholder rights plan, also known as a “poison pill,” to protect its strategic review process from hostile takeover attempts.
News
Aave Price Increases Following Whales Accumulation and V3.1 Launch
Decentralized finance protocol Aave is seeing a significant spike in whale activity as the market looks to recover from the recent crash that pushed most altcoins into key support areas earlier this week.
July 31, Lookonchain shared details indicating that the whales had aggressively accumulated Aave (AAVE) over the past two days. According to the data, whales have withdrawn over 58,848 AAVE worth $6.47 million from exchanges during this period.
In one instance, whale address 0x9af4 withdrew 11,185 AAVE worth $1.23 million from Binance. Meanwhile, another address moved 21,619 AAVE worth over $2.38 million from the exchange and deposited the tokens into Aave.
These withdrawals follow a previous transfer of 26,044 AAVE from whale address 0xd7c5, amounting to over $2.83 million withdrawn from Binance.
AAVE price has surged over 7% in the past 24 hours amid buy-side pressure from these whales. The DeFi token is currently trading around $111 after jumping over 18% in the past week.
Recently, the price of AAVE increased by over 8% after Aave founder Marc Zeller announced a proposed fee change aimed at adopting a buyback program for AAVE tokens.
Aave v3.1 is available
The total value locked in the Aave protocol currently stands at around $22 billion. According to DeFiLlamaApproximately $19.9 billion is on Aave V3, while the V2 chain still holds approximately $1.9 billion in TVL and V1 approximately $14.6 million.
Aave Labs announced Previously, Aave V3.1 was made available on all networks with active Aave V3 instances.
V3.1 features improvements that are intended to improve the overall security of the DeFi protocol. The Aave DAO governance has approved the v3.1 improvements, which also include operational efficiency and usability for the network.
Meanwhile, Aave Labs recently outlined a ambitious roadmap for the projectwith a 2030 vision for Aave V4, among other developments.
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