Bitcoin
Is Bitcoin on track to take a big step and reach $100,000 in 2024?
Exceeding expectations is nothing new for Bitcoin.
In the last 15 years, Bitcoin (Bitcoin -2.27%) has already surpassed almost all projections, estimates and expectations. In just over a decade, cryptocurrency has grown from just a few cents per digital coin to over $50,000 by 2021, taking the world by storm.
Priced at around $70,000 in June 2024, the next big milestone in sight is the coveted six-figure mark. As sensational as it may sound, history tells us that a $100,000 price tag is increasingly likely. But the real question is: when will Bitcoin surpass $100,000? Could it be in 2024?
Measuring the effect of halving
Any prediction like this is inherently speculative. But a little speculation can be healthy and force us to evaluate the long-term evolution of an investment.
To predict Bitcoin’s performance, it is imperative to consider the trends surrounding the reduce by half. Halving is a pre-scheduled event that occurs approximately every four years. It halves the reward for mining new blocks and forms the basis of Bitcoin’s robust monetary policy.
This mechanism effectively decreases the rate of creation of new bitcoins over time, contributing to Bitcoin’s scarcity and, historically, its price appreciation. Bitcoin recently underwent its fourth halving in April 2024, sending its inflation rate to just 0.85%.
Due to the clear influence that the halving has on the dynamics around Bitcoin supply and demand, we can form our projection around it by looking at previous halvings. In the year that Bitcoin is halved, its price increases by about 125% on average. If we measure from its price at the beginning of the year ($44,000), a 125% increase would put its price at $99,000.
A new variable to be accounted for
If this halving has a similar effect to the previous ones, it looks like Bitcoin should be close to the $100,000 mark in 2024. But to add more certainty to the fact that 2024 is the year Bitcoin hits six figures, there is a another variable we need to consider.
Unlike previous halving cycles, this one has a new factor that could be the extra boost the cryptocurrency needs to surpass $100,000: Spot Bitcoin ETFs. For most of Bitcoin’s history, its rise was primarily driven by retail investors like you and me. But with Bitcoin ETFs in sight, with deep pockets institutional investors You can start accumulating Bitcoin without regulatory or custody concerns.
The arrival of institutions, coupled with expanding access to retail investors who might previously have felt uncomfortable purchasing Bitcoin on a cryptocurrency exchange, was expected to place additional pressure on the Bitcoin supply. In fact, we are already seeing the net effect of this new vehicle for exposure to Bitcoin.
In February, ETFs were buying 10 times Bitcoin’s daily production rate (about 900 bitcoins per day), helping to push its price higher. new historical record. While the buying rate has cooled since then, it’s probably safe to say we’re just seeing the tip of the iceberg. The most important thing, however, is that if purchases returned to these levels, ETFs would be exceeding the daily supply of Bitcoin by 20 times the rate due to the now approved halving.
The end result
2024 appears to be the year Bitcoin hits $100,000. With its price close to $70,500 today, this represents a remarkable opportunity with a nice 40% gain.
However, we must keep in mind that it is usually in the year following the halving that Bitcoin makes its most impressive gains. During these years, after the full effect of the halving materialized, Bitcoin soared by an average of more than 400%. If for some reason Bitcoin doesn’t reach $100,000 this year, 2025 would be the next safe bet.
Whether this happens this year or next, one thing is certain: the continued halvings, growing adoption, and institutional involvement make a strong case for Bitcoin to continue surprising us in the years to come.
Bitcoin
‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump
Bitcoin has surged again this year under former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.
The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcoinalthough it fell again this week to below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.
Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.
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Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.
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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.
“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”
John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”
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Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.
Forbes Digital Assets
Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.
According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”
The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.
Bitcoin
Large Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Added $5.4 Billion Worth of BTC in July, Data Shows
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Bitcoin
Peter Schiff criticizes Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin hype by U.Today
U.Today – Renowned economist and cryptocurrency critic Peter Schiff has criticized Michael Saylor’s recent hype about the growing adoption of cryptocurrencies as a strategic treasury asset by corporations.
Michael Saylor, a well-known Bitcoin advocate and president of MicroStrategy, recently shared his enthusiasm on X about the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic treasury asset.
Citing a comment made by Bitcoin investor Bill Miller in a recent interview with CNBC, Saylor tweeted: “We now have more companies coming forward and saying we will put Bitcoin on our balance sheet as a strategic treasury asset.”
However, not everyone shares Saylor’s enthusiasm. Schiff, a vocal Bitcoin critic and gold bull, was quick to respond with his usual skepticism. In a pointed tweet, Schiff argued: “Bitcoin is neither strategic nor appropriate as a treasury asset. Companies should not risk shareholder funds. They should pay dividends and let shareholders risk their own money.”
Bitcoin enthusiasts are not intimidated
However, Schiff’s criticism shouldn’t deter Bitcoin enthusiasts, who often take Schiff’s words with a pinch of salt. To put things in context, Michael Saylor began buying Bitcoin in 2020 as an inflation hedge and alternative to money. Saylor’s company, MicroStrategy, is among the largest public holders of Bitcoin in the world. As of June 20, it held 226,331 BTC, purchased for around $8.33 billion at an average price of $36,798.
Over the weekend, Schiff was surprised when 87% of the more than 11,000 Bitcoin holders who responded to his X survey said they would not sell any of their Bitcoin even if the price dropped more than 99% to $120. They said not only would they not sell, but that they would continue to buy even when prices dropped.
Schiff unexpectedly revealed that “the main selling point for investors to buy Bitcoin is its excellent past performance record.”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,067, having reached all-time highs of nearly $74,000 in mid-March.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Falls as ETF Flows Reverse, Mt. Gox Moves Billions
In a week of drastic fluctuations, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has retreated from its highs and is currently trading at US$66,250, down 0.9% in European trading.
This volatility comes on the heels of a significant surge above $70,000 earlier in the week, fueled by former President Donald Trump’s ambitious cryptocurrency plans announced in a Bitcoin Conference in Nashville.
Trump’s announcement to fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler and establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve if elected president has temporarily sent the cryptocurrency market into a frenzy.
However, the excitement was short-lived as a series of events unfolded which caused investor sentiment to sour.
A significant sell-off of about 8% was triggered when the US Marshals Service moved $2 billion in Bitcoin for new wallets.
This move has reignited fears of a potential large-scale liquidation, compounded by lingering concerns over a possible Bitcoin liquidation from Mt. Gox. Early this morning, Mt. Gox administrator transferred US$2.2 billion value of your BTC assets in a new wallet.
Meanwhile, the US Bitcoin ETF spot market is showing signs of fluctuation, according to data from SoSo Value. On July 30, Bitcoin spot funds experienced their first net outflow in five days, totaling $18.3 million.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw outflows of $73.6 million, while the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) attracted $74.9 million in inflows. But outflows from other funds left the category in the red at the end of Tuesday’s trading session. The total net asset value of spot Bitcoin ETFs currently stands at a substantial $58.5 billion.
In other crypto news, Ripple (XRP) is up 8.6% in the past 24 hours, hitting over 64 cents – its highest point since March 25, according to CoinGecko. data.
This rally comes amid a scheduled token unlock and growing optimism around a potential deal in the long-running SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit.
The crypto community is closely watching the SEC’s actions, particularly its intention to amend its complaint against Binance regarding “Third-Party Cryptocurrency Securities,” which some interpret as a positive sign for Ripple.
On a market analysis noteSingapore-based cryptocurrency trading desk QCP Capital wrote that while election headlines continue to dominate, several crucial macroeconomic events loom on the horizon.
“Election headlines will continue to be a key focus, but several key macroeconomic events are also on the horizon. Key events starting with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, megacap tech earnings (Apple, Amazon, Meta) throughout the week, and unemployment data on Friday,” QCP Capital wrote.
Edited by Stacy Elliott.
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