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Prediction: Bitcoin will reach $1 million due to this little-known phenomenon
Action will drive more action.
Day to day, Bitcoin‘S (Bitcoin -0.22%) its unique characteristics, which make it different from any other asset in the world, are becoming increasingly recognized and understood by investors. The recent approval of Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will amplify this understanding, as these ETFs simplify the process for investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
While the approval of Spot Bitcoin ETF has been widely celebrated as a stamp of unofficial legitimacy, signaling that Bitcoin is here to stay, there is another crucial dimension to consider. Once this is fully understood, it will become apparent that Bitcoin has the potential to reach the coveted $1 million price point.
Understand the current landscape
The approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs revolutionizes how the average investor, or retail investor, can add Bitcoin exposure to their portfolios. Simply by purchasing shares of one of these ETFs through their intermediationInvestors can now bypass the complexities of navigating cryptocurrency exchanges and managing digital wallets.
This development has the potential to significantly increase demand for Bitcoin’s limited and dwindling supply. However, as transformative as this increased access is for retail investors, it will pale in comparison to the wave of demand anticipated by financial markets. institutional investors enter the market.
Before diving into the numbers, it is essential to understand who institutional investors are. For a long time I heard Bitcoin enthusiasts say that institutions were coming, but I never fully understood what that meant. Institutional investors are organizations that invest money on behalf of their clients. These include, among others, pension funds, pension plans, sovereign wealth funds and hedge funds. Essentially, they manage and invest large sums of money.
Prior to the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs, institutions were prohibited or hesitant to enter the Bitcoin market due to the complexities associated with owning digital assets. However, with the advent of these ETFs, institutions can now easily incorporate Bitcoin into their large portfolios, opening the door for a significant influx of institutional capital into the Bitcoin market.
Time to do some numbers
But what impact will these institutions have? As of May 15, approximately 700 professional investment firms are estimated to own approximately $5 billion of these Bitcoin spot ETFs. Leading the way is Millennium Management, an investment company that manages over $64 billion, of which $1.8 billion is tied to Bitcoin ETFs, approximately 3% of its total portfolio. But the list goes on and includes the likes of Morgan Stanley (the sixth largest bank in the United States), Bracebridge Capital (a hedge fund that manages investments for Yale and Princeton), and even the State of Wisconsin Investment Board.
However, as it stands, retail investors are the primary owners of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Reports suggest that around 10% of all ETF-related assets come from institutions. But this number is growing and will continue to do so.
The influx of institutions into the Bitcoin market will likely be gradual, as they typically engage extensively due diligence before making assignments. Unlike retail investors, who can quickly enter the market by purchasing shares of an ETF, institutions often take time to research Bitcoin’s impact on their portfolios before making small allocations.
However, after conducting their research, I think they will probably all come to the same conclusion: Bitcoin’s inherent characteristics make it a necessity in wallets. Eventually, widespread adoption among institutional investors will occur, leading to an influx of tsunamis of capital.
There’s no telling exactly how much money, but based on recent studies that argue that a 5% allocation is the ideal amount of exposure, we can begin to estimate the potential impact of institutional investors. With 5% of the $129 trillion in assets under management, Bitcoin’s market capitalization could rise to over $7 trillion and its price above $400,000.
However, some analysts argue that a 5% allocation may be too conservative. In particular, a recent study by ARK Invest suggests that the ideal exposure level should be closer to 19%. If this were to happen, the price of Bitcoin could rise further $1.3 million.
The little-known theory that comes into play
What we are witnessing marks the beginning of a fascinating phenomenon: game theory. In essence, game theory suggests that rational actors, in this case institutional investors, will strategically act in their own best interests based on the actions of others.
As institutions watch their peers reap the benefits of Bitcoin investing, they will inevitably face pressure to join the fray or risk being left behind in the race for returns. This dynamic, driven by the desire to outperform competitors and secure maximum returns, will likely fuel a surge in Bitcoin adoption and investment like never before seen.
While retail investors have played a significant role in Bitcoin’s path thus far and will remain an important group, the entry of institutions represents a paradigm shift. The sheer size and resources at their disposal will not only amplify the dynamics of the Bitcoin market, but will also inject a new level of competition and urgency. As institutions compete for supremacy and seek to exploit Bitcoin’s potential, the game is set to evolve in unanticipated ways and take Bitcoin to new heights.
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Cryptocurrency Price August 1: Bitcoin Dips Below $65K; Solana, XRP Down Up To 8%
Major cryptocurrencies fell in Thursday trading following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep its key interest rate unchanged. Overnight, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate at 5.25-5.5% for the eighth consecutive time, as expected, while also signaling the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting in September. The unanimous decision by the Federal Open Market Committee reflects a continued wait-and-see approach as it monitors inflation trends.
CoinSwitch Markets Desk said: “Bitcoin has fallen below $65,000 after the US Federal Reserve announced it would keep interest rates unchanged. However, with markets now anticipating rate cuts at the next Federal Reserve meeting in September, the outlook for a Bitcoin rally by the end of the year has strengthened.”
Meanwhile, CoinDCX research team said: “The crypto market has plunged after the Fed decision. Tomorrow’s US unemployment rate announcement is expected to induce more volatility, with the ‘actual’ figure coming in higher than the ‘expected’ one, which is positive for cryptocurrencies.”
At 12:21 pm IST, Bitcoin (BTC) was down 3.2% at $64,285, while Ethereum was down nearly 4.5% at $3,313. Meanwhile, the global market cryptocurrency The market capitalization fell 3.6% to around $2.3 trillion in the last 24 hours.
“Bitcoin needs to clear its 200-day EMA at $64,510 to consolidate further. Otherwise, a retest of $62,000 could be in the cards,” said Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus.
Altcoins and meme coins, such as BNB (3%), Solana (8%), XRP (5.7%), Dogecoin (5%), Cardano (4.6%), Avalanche (4.3%), Shiba Inu (3.8%), Polkadot (3.4%), and Chainlink (4%) also saw declines.
The volume of all stablecoins is now $71.64 billion, which is 92.19% of the total cryptocurrency market volume in 24 hours, according to data available on CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s dominance is currently 54.99%. BTC volume in the last 24 hours increased by 23.3% to $35.7 billion.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, opinions and views provided by experts are personal. They do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
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Altcoins WIF, BONK, RUNE, JUP Down 10% While Bitcoin Drops 4%
Altcoins dogwifhat, Bonk, THORChain, and Jupiter have suffered losses of more than 10%, while Bitcoin is down 4% in the last 24 hours.
After a period of relative calm yesterday, July 31, Bitcoin (BTC) price action has seen a drastic change as the cryptocurrency dropped by more than $3,500, bringing its value to $63,300. At the same time, altcoins mirrored this trend, with the total value of liquidated positions rising to nearly $225 million over the course of the day.
Initially, the week started on a positive note for Bitcoin, which reached its highest point since early June, hitting $70,000. However, this peak was short-lived, as it was quickly rejected, leading to a substantial decline, with Bitcoin falling below $65,500.
The cryptocurrency managed to regain some stability, trading comfortably at around $66,800. However, following a Press conference According to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, the value of Bitcoin has fallen again to $64,300, down more than 3% in 24 hours.
BTC Price Chart 24 Hours | Source: crypto.news
The recession coincided with a relationship from the New York Times stating that Iran had called for retaliatory measures against Israel following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, increasing the risk of further conflict in the region.
Meanwhile, on the economic front, the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rates in place, offering little information on a planned September rate cut. Powell also hinted that while no concrete decisions have been made on the September adjustment, there is growing consensus that a rate cut is likely.
Amid Bitcoin’s decline, altcoins have suffered even more significant losses. For example, dogwifhat (Wife) saw a 12.4% drop and (DISGUST) has suffered a 10% drop. Other altcoins such as THORChain (RUNE) also fell by 10%, while Jupiter (JUPITER) and the Ethereum naming service (ENS) decreased by 8% and 9% respectively.
Among the largest-cap cryptocurrencies, the biggest losers are Solana (SOL) with a decrease of 8%, (Exchange rate risk) down 6%, Cardano (ADA) down 4%, and both Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE) recording a decrease of 4.4%.
Data from CoinGlass indicates that approximately 67,000 traders have been negatively impacted by this increased volatility. BTC positions have seen $61.85 million in liquidations, while ETH positions have faced $61 million. In total, the value of liquidated positions stands at $225.4 million at the time of writing.
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Riot Platforms Sees 52% Drop in Bitcoin Production in Q2
Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms has released its second-quarter financial results, highlighting a decline in cryptocurrency mined due to the recent halving.
Colorado-based Bitcoin (BTC) mining company Riot platforms revealed its second quarter financial results, highlighting a significant reduction in mined cryptocurrencies attributed to the recent halving event that took place in early April.
The company reported total revenue of $70 million for the quarter ended July 31, a decline of 8.7% compared to the same period in 2023. Riot Platforms attributed the revenue decline primarily to a $9.7 million decrease in engineering revenue, which was partially mitigated by a $6 million increase in Bitcoin extraction income.
During the quarter, the company mined 844 BTC, representing a decline of over 50% from Q2 2023, citing the halving event and increasing network difficulty as major factors behind the decline. Riot Platforms reported a net loss of $84.4 million, or $0.32 per share, missing Zacks Research forecast a loss of $0.16 per share.
Halving increases competitive pressure
The Colorado-based firm said the average cost of mining one BTC in the second quarter, including energy credits, rose to $25,327, a remarkable 341% increase from $5,734 per BTC in the same quarter of 2023. Despite this significant increase in production costs, the firm remains optimistic about maintaining competitiveness through recent deals.
For example, following the Recent acquisition Cryptocurrency firm Block Mining, Riot has increased its distributed hash rate forecast from 31 EH/s to 36 EH/s by the end of 2024, while also increasing its 2025 forecast from 40 EH/s to 56 EH/s.
Riot Platforms Hashrate Growth Projections by 2027 | Source: Riot Platforms
Commenting on the company’s financials, Riot CEO Jason Les said that despite the halving, the mining company still managed to achieve “significant operational growth and execution of our long-term strategy.”
“Despite this reduction in production available to all Bitcoin miners, Riot reported $70 million in revenue for the quarter and maintained strong gross margins in our core Bitcoin mining business.”
Jason Les
Following its Q2 financial report, Riot Platforms shares fell 1.74% to $10.19, according to Google Finance data. Meanwhile, the American miner continues to chase Canadian rival Bitfarms, recently acquiring an additional 10.2 million BITF shares, increasing its stake in Bitfarms to 15.9%.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Riot was the first announced a $950 million takeover bid for Bitfarms in late May, arguing that Bitfarms’ founders were not acting in the best interests of all shareholders. They said their proposal was rejected by Bitfarms’ board without substantive engagement.
In response, Bitfarms She said that Riot’s offer “significantly understates” its growth prospects. Bitfarms subsequently implemented a shareholder rights plan, also known as a “poison pill,” to protect its strategic review process from hostile takeover attempts.
News
Aave Price Increases Following Whales Accumulation and V3.1 Launch
Decentralized finance protocol Aave is seeing a significant spike in whale activity as the market looks to recover from the recent crash that pushed most altcoins into key support areas earlier this week.
July 31, Lookonchain shared details indicating that the whales had aggressively accumulated Aave (AAVE) over the past two days. According to the data, whales have withdrawn over 58,848 AAVE worth $6.47 million from exchanges during this period.
In one instance, whale address 0x9af4 withdrew 11,185 AAVE worth $1.23 million from Binance. Meanwhile, another address moved 21,619 AAVE worth over $2.38 million from the exchange and deposited the tokens into Aave.
These withdrawals follow a previous transfer of 26,044 AAVE from whale address 0xd7c5, amounting to over $2.83 million withdrawn from Binance.
AAVE price has surged over 7% in the past 24 hours amid buy-side pressure from these whales. The DeFi token is currently trading around $111 after jumping over 18% in the past week.
Recently, the price of AAVE increased by over 8% after Aave founder Marc Zeller announced a proposed fee change aimed at adopting a buyback program for AAVE tokens.
Aave v3.1 is available
The total value locked in the Aave protocol currently stands at around $22 billion. According to DeFiLlamaApproximately $19.9 billion is on Aave V3, while the V2 chain still holds approximately $1.9 billion in TVL and V1 approximately $14.6 million.
Aave Labs announced Previously, Aave V3.1 was made available on all networks with active Aave V3 instances.
V3.1 features improvements that are intended to improve the overall security of the DeFi protocol. The Aave DAO governance has approved the v3.1 improvements, which also include operational efficiency and usability for the network.
Meanwhile, Aave Labs recently outlined a ambitious roadmap for the projectwith a 2030 vision for Aave V4, among other developments.
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