Bitcoin
Billionaires are selling Nvidia stock and buying an index fund that could rise as much as 5,655%, according to some Wall Street analysts
Artificial intelligence stocks have stolen the spotlight in recent months, but Bitcoin could be one of Wall Street’s next obsessions.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been one of the hottest investment topics on Wall Street this year, and Nvidia (NVDA -2.61%) has become the quintessential AI stock due to its leadership in machine learning processors. But certain Wall Street analysts see a substantial opportunity taking shape around Bitcoin (BTC 0.52%) due to the recent approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
- Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra of Bernstein believe that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by 2025, $500,000 by 2029, and $1 million by 2030. This prediction ultimately implies a 1,415% upside from its current price of $66,000.
- Last year, Cathie Wood estimated that Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030, but she increased that number to $3.8 million following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Her latest prediction implies a 5,655% upside from the current price.
Several successful hedge fund managers sold Nvidia shares during the first quarter while simultaneously buying shares of iShares Bitcoin Investment Fund (I BITE 6.02%), one of the recently approved spot Bitcoin ETFs.
- Citadel Advisors’ Ken Griffin sold 2.4 million shares of Nvidia in the first quarter, reducing his holdings by 68%. Meanwhile, he started a small position in the iShares Bitcoin Trust.
- David Shaw of DE Shaw sold 1.4 million shares of Nvidia in the first quarter, reducing his holding by 38%. Meanwhile, he started a small position in the iShares Bitcoin Trust.
- Millennium Management’s Israel Englander sold 720,004 shares of Nvidia in the first quarter, reducing his holding by 35%. Meanwhile, he started a fairly sizable position in the iShares Bitcoin Trust, so that ranks as his twelfth-largest holding, excluding options contracts.
The three billionaires mentioned above are notable because they run the top three hedge funds, measured by net gains since inception, according to LCH Investments. Readers should not interpret their trades as a bad investment in Nvidia, but rather that diversification has merit. Here’s why the iShares Bitcoin Trust is a worthwhile long-term holding for risk-tolerant investors.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are unlocking demand from institutional investors
At any given time, the price of Bitcoin is determined by supply and demand. However, its supply is capped at 21 million coins, so demand is ultimately the driving force behind price action. In other words, demand for Bitcoin would need to increase substantially for its price to reach $1 million, and even more substantially for its price to reach $3.8 million.
Bernstein and Ark Invest believe demand will come from Spot Bitcoin ETFsa new asset class approved by SEC earlier this year. Spot Bitcoin ETFs track the price of Bitcoin while keeping the cryptocurrency as the underlying asset and eliminate traditional sources of friction that may have kept retail It is institutional investors off the market, as detailed below.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs allow investors to add exposure to Bitcoin through their existing brokerage accounts. This eliminates the complexity of maintaining a separate portfolio with a cryptocurrency exchange. It also simplifies tax filing because most brokerages link directly to tax preparation software.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs are often cheaper. The iShares Bitcoin Trust has a Expense rate of 0.25%, which means investors will pay $25 per year for every $10,000 in the fund. But Coinbase charges 0.4% to 0.6% per transaction for orders under $10,000, meaning investors are hit with higher fees twice — once when they buy and once when they sell.
Bernstein and Ark Invest expect Bitcoin to follow different trajectories over the next decade, but they agree on one thing: demand from institutional investors will drive the anticipated gains.
We are still in the early stages of adoption, but institutional demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs has been evident in recent years. 13F Forms filed with the SEC. As mentioned, three major hedge funds — Citadel Advisor, DE Shaw, and Millennium Management — have initiated positions in the iShares Bitcoin Trust. Several major investment banks, including JP Morgan To chase, Morgan StanleyIt is Wells Fargoalso bought spot Bitcoin ETFs.
However, most institutional investors have very small positions at the moment, meaning their holdings represent inconsequential portions of their portfolios. But Bernstein analysts Chhugani and Sapra believe institutional investors are “in the process of evaluating ‘net long’ positions as they become comfortable with improving ETF liquidity.”
Similarly, Cathie Wood at Ark Invest believes that institutional investors will eventually put a little over 5% of their portfolios into spot Bitcoin ETFs. For context, institutions had nearly $120 trillion in assets under management last year, so Ark’s forecast implies that these investors will allocate more than $6 trillion to spot Bitcoin ETFs in the future. If that happens, Wood says the price of Bitcoin could reach $3.8 trillion.
History Says Bitcoin Will Hit New Highs Between April 2025 and October 2025
Bernstein is also bullish on Bitcoin because of the halving event which occurred in April 2024. “We believe that a new cycle starting with the halving is not a coincidence, but rather driven by unique supply and demand dynamics,” the analysts wrote in a recent note.
To elaborate, Bitcoin block subsidies — newly minted Bitcoin granted to miners to solve cryptographic puzzles to verify transaction blocks — are reduced by 50% every time 210,000 blocks are added to the blockchain. These halving events happen roughly once every four years, and the most recent one occurred in April.
This is significant because Bitcoin has already experienced three halving events before, and its price has always reached a new peak 12 to 18 months later, as shown in the chart below.
November 2012 |
10.485% |
371 days |
July 2016 |
3.103% |
525 days |
May 2020 |
707% |
546 days |
As shown above, post-halving returns have decreased with each subsequent halving event, simply because each subsequent halving event has a smaller impact on the total supply. But history suggests that Bitcoin will peak sometime between April 2025 and October 2025.
A Word of Caution for Investors
Past performance is never a guarantee of future returns, and price targets should never be taken for granted. Bitcoin is a relatively new asset class, and its limited history means that predicting its performance is essentially impossible.
Furthermore, Bitcoin has fallen by more than 50% on multiple occasions, and similar declines are plausible (if not likely) in the future. Investors comfortable with these risks should consider buying a position in the iShares Bitcoin Trust today. Adding exposure to the cryptocurrency is a great way to diversify a portfolio overloaded with AI stocks like Nvidia.
JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Trevor Jennewine has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin, Coinbase Global, JPMorgan Chase, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Bitcoin
‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump
Bitcoin has surged again this year under former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.
The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcoinalthough it fell again this week to below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.
Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.
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Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.
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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.
“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”
John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”
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Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.
Forbes Digital Assets
Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.
According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”
The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.
Bitcoin
Large Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Added $5.4 Billion Worth of BTC in July, Data Shows
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Bitcoin
Peter Schiff criticizes Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin hype by U.Today
U.Today – Renowned economist and cryptocurrency critic Peter Schiff has criticized Michael Saylor’s recent hype about the growing adoption of cryptocurrencies as a strategic treasury asset by corporations.
Michael Saylor, a well-known Bitcoin advocate and president of MicroStrategy, recently shared his enthusiasm on X about the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic treasury asset.
Citing a comment made by Bitcoin investor Bill Miller in a recent interview with CNBC, Saylor tweeted: “We now have more companies coming forward and saying we will put Bitcoin on our balance sheet as a strategic treasury asset.”
However, not everyone shares Saylor’s enthusiasm. Schiff, a vocal Bitcoin critic and gold bull, was quick to respond with his usual skepticism. In a pointed tweet, Schiff argued: “Bitcoin is neither strategic nor appropriate as a treasury asset. Companies should not risk shareholder funds. They should pay dividends and let shareholders risk their own money.”
Bitcoin enthusiasts are not intimidated
However, Schiff’s criticism shouldn’t deter Bitcoin enthusiasts, who often take Schiff’s words with a pinch of salt. To put things in context, Michael Saylor began buying Bitcoin in 2020 as an inflation hedge and alternative to money. Saylor’s company, MicroStrategy, is among the largest public holders of Bitcoin in the world. As of June 20, it held 226,331 BTC, purchased for around $8.33 billion at an average price of $36,798.
Over the weekend, Schiff was surprised when 87% of the more than 11,000 Bitcoin holders who responded to his X survey said they would not sell any of their Bitcoin even if the price dropped more than 99% to $120. They said not only would they not sell, but that they would continue to buy even when prices dropped.
Schiff unexpectedly revealed that “the main selling point for investors to buy Bitcoin is its excellent past performance record.”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,067, having reached all-time highs of nearly $74,000 in mid-March.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Falls as ETF Flows Reverse, Mt. Gox Moves Billions
In a week of drastic fluctuations, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has retreated from its highs and is currently trading at US$66,250, down 0.9% in European trading.
This volatility comes on the heels of a significant surge above $70,000 earlier in the week, fueled by former President Donald Trump’s ambitious cryptocurrency plans announced in a Bitcoin Conference in Nashville.
Trump’s announcement to fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler and establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve if elected president has temporarily sent the cryptocurrency market into a frenzy.
However, the excitement was short-lived as a series of events unfolded which caused investor sentiment to sour.
A significant sell-off of about 8% was triggered when the US Marshals Service moved $2 billion in Bitcoin for new wallets.
This move has reignited fears of a potential large-scale liquidation, compounded by lingering concerns over a possible Bitcoin liquidation from Mt. Gox. Early this morning, Mt. Gox administrator transferred US$2.2 billion value of your BTC assets in a new wallet.
Meanwhile, the US Bitcoin ETF spot market is showing signs of fluctuation, according to data from SoSo Value. On July 30, Bitcoin spot funds experienced their first net outflow in five days, totaling $18.3 million.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) saw outflows of $73.6 million, while the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) attracted $74.9 million in inflows. But outflows from other funds left the category in the red at the end of Tuesday’s trading session. The total net asset value of spot Bitcoin ETFs currently stands at a substantial $58.5 billion.
In other crypto news, Ripple (XRP) is up 8.6% in the past 24 hours, hitting over 64 cents – its highest point since March 25, according to CoinGecko. data.
This rally comes amid a scheduled token unlock and growing optimism around a potential deal in the long-running SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit.
The crypto community is closely watching the SEC’s actions, particularly its intention to amend its complaint against Binance regarding “Third-Party Cryptocurrency Securities,” which some interpret as a positive sign for Ripple.
On a market analysis noteSingapore-based cryptocurrency trading desk QCP Capital wrote that while election headlines continue to dominate, several crucial macroeconomic events loom on the horizon.
“Election headlines will continue to be a key focus, but several key macroeconomic events are also on the horizon. Key events starting with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, megacap tech earnings (Apple, Amazon, Meta) throughout the week, and unemployment data on Friday,” QCP Capital wrote.
Edited by Stacy Elliott.
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