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Prediction: Bitcoin will reach $80,000 in 2024
Curious about Bitcoin’s next move? Here’s why $80,000 is a realistic goal for 2024 and where it should go after that.
I know I know. You probably expected me to set a higher target price for Bitcoin (Bitcoin 0.75%). After all, everyone else is doing it.
- Tom Lee, partner at Fundstrat Global Advisors, sees $150,000 per coin as the “base case” in 2024.
- British analysts money center bank Standard charter recently agreed with Fundstrat’s $150,000 predictionand said they expect another step up to $250,000 next year.
- Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood thought Bitcoin would reach $600,000 in 2024, on its way to a goal of $1.5 million by 2030. She hasn’t updated her short-term goal lately, but her 2030 goal it is now equal to $3.8 million per Bitcoin.
And to be honest, I myself have set a price target of $150,000 on Bitcoin – but not for this year. I expect this milestone to be reached in 2025 or 2026. Bitcoin’s four-year cycle of price surges suggests another dramatic price surge after the one in April. halving of mining rewards – but don’t expect this surge to materialize right away.
Bitcoin price movements after halvings 1, 2 and 3
First, there is a clear pattern found in Bitcoin price charts after each halving.
- From the summer of 2012 to the fall of 2013, the price of Bitcoin experienced significant growth. On November 28, 2012, Bitcoin experienced its first halving, at a price of approximately $12 per digital currency. In late November 2013, the price of Bitcoin peaked at around $1,100 in the first halving cycle.
- On July 9, 2016, with a price of around $650, Bitcoin experienced its second halving. In December 2017, its price peaked at nearly $20,000, before falling to around $6,500 in April 2018. That was the peak period of Bitcoin’s second halving cycle.
- On May 11, 2020, it was the time of Bitcoin’s third halving, with a price of around $9,000, as the world grappled with the impact of COVID-19 for the first time. By November 2021, Bitcoin’s price had reached a new all-time high of nearly $69,000, reflecting growing institutional interest and widespread adoption.
You see the pattern, right? So far each halving has been followed by an impressive price increase, but always with a significant delay. Here’s how long it took Bitcoin to reach the peak of each halving cycle, starting from the date of each mining reward reduction:
- 1 year, 1 day
- 1 year, 5 months, 8 days
- 1 year, 5 months, 30 days
From this perspective, it is logical that the fourth halving should result in another price peak, but not before the spring of 2025. Any faster event would mean a significant acceleration of the post-halving market reaction.
Because every Bitcoin halving is different
Of course, each halving event is unique. In 2012, the former was charting completely uncharted waters. Four years later, Bitcoin investors and miners didn’t know whether the halving cycle would inspire similar market reactions twice. In 2020, COVID-19 threw a spanner in the works, but in many ways the same old pattern repeated itself.
So here we are in 2024, waiting to see exactly how the next cycle will work. All sorts of theories have been proposed and explored, but only time will tell.
The introduction of Spot Bitcoin ETF began an increase in the price of Bitcoin a few months before this halving. Will the major cryptocurrency simply follow its previous pattern from a higher starting point, or will the expected post-halving surge be undermined by a higher starting price?
When it comes to the exact shape of Bitcoin’s future price chart, your guess is as good as mine. Historical patterns suggest a slow burn in 2024, followed by a sharp spike in early 2025. The real world doesn’t always conform to previous patterns, but the market has built a fairly consistent collection of reactions to Bitcoin’s halving cycles.
What to expect from Bitcoin in the coming years
I’m not a fan of technical analysis. Unforeseen events can take the wind out of the fullest sailsOR take a select handful of stocks to new heights without warning. So I hesitate to provide a specific target price for Bitcoin at the end of 2024. The scribbles on the charts above quickly lose all meaning in the face of real-world surprises.
However, the long-term bullish trend is undeniable and is supported by pure mathematics The inner workings of Bitcoin. So the cryptocurrency looks poised for some modest gains as the post-halving economy evolves before our eyes, whether regulators are helping or hindering them. A 15% gain to $80,000 seems quite reasonable, followed by the usual post-halving rise next year.
Don’t expect the coin to do this go to the moon in 2024, but feel free to build a long-term Bitcoin position to take advantage of the fourth halving surge, followed by the fifth in 2028, the sixth in 2032, and so on.
True Bitcoin wealth will belong to long-term investors with strong patience and willingness to do so buy more Bitcoin in the inevitable dips along the way.
Anders Bylund has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool recommends Standard Chartered Plc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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Cryptocurrency Price August 1: Bitcoin Dips Below $65K; Solana, XRP Down Up To 8%
Major cryptocurrencies fell in Thursday trading following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep its key interest rate unchanged. Overnight, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate at 5.25-5.5% for the eighth consecutive time, as expected, while also signaling the possibility of a rate cut at its next meeting in September. The unanimous decision by the Federal Open Market Committee reflects a continued wait-and-see approach as it monitors inflation trends.
CoinSwitch Markets Desk said: “Bitcoin has fallen below $65,000 after the US Federal Reserve announced it would keep interest rates unchanged. However, with markets now anticipating rate cuts at the next Federal Reserve meeting in September, the outlook for a Bitcoin rally by the end of the year has strengthened.”
Meanwhile, CoinDCX research team said: “The crypto market has plunged after the Fed decision. Tomorrow’s US unemployment rate announcement is expected to induce more volatility, with the ‘actual’ figure coming in higher than the ‘expected’ one, which is positive for cryptocurrencies.”
At 12:21 pm IST, Bitcoin (BTC) was down 3.2% at $64,285, while Ethereum was down nearly 4.5% at $3,313. Meanwhile, the global market cryptocurrency The market capitalization fell 3.6% to around $2.3 trillion in the last 24 hours.
“Bitcoin needs to clear its 200-day EMA at $64,510 to consolidate further. Otherwise, a retest of $62,000 could be in the cards,” said Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus.
Altcoins and meme coins, such as BNB (3%), Solana (8%), XRP (5.7%), Dogecoin (5%), Cardano (4.6%), Avalanche (4.3%), Shiba Inu (3.8%), Polkadot (3.4%), and Chainlink (4%) also saw declines.
The volume of all stablecoins is now $71.64 billion, which is 92.19% of the total cryptocurrency market volume in 24 hours, according to data available on CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s dominance is currently 54.99%. BTC volume in the last 24 hours increased by 23.3% to $35.7 billion.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, opinions and views provided by experts are personal. They do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
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Altcoins WIF, BONK, RUNE, JUP Down 10% While Bitcoin Drops 4%
Altcoins dogwifhat, Bonk, THORChain, and Jupiter have suffered losses of more than 10%, while Bitcoin is down 4% in the last 24 hours.
After a period of relative calm yesterday, July 31, Bitcoin (BTC) price action has seen a drastic change as the cryptocurrency dropped by more than $3,500, bringing its value to $63,300. At the same time, altcoins mirrored this trend, with the total value of liquidated positions rising to nearly $225 million over the course of the day.
Initially, the week started on a positive note for Bitcoin, which reached its highest point since early June, hitting $70,000. However, this peak was short-lived, as it was quickly rejected, leading to a substantial decline, with Bitcoin falling below $65,500.
The cryptocurrency managed to regain some stability, trading comfortably at around $66,800. However, following a Press conference According to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, the value of Bitcoin has fallen again to $64,300, down more than 3% in 24 hours.
BTC Price Chart 24 Hours | Source: crypto.news
The recession coincided with a relationship from the New York Times stating that Iran had called for retaliatory measures against Israel following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, increasing the risk of further conflict in the region.
Meanwhile, on the economic front, the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rates in place, offering little information on a planned September rate cut. Powell also hinted that while no concrete decisions have been made on the September adjustment, there is growing consensus that a rate cut is likely.
Amid Bitcoin’s decline, altcoins have suffered even more significant losses. For example, dogwifhat (Wife) saw a 12.4% drop and (DISGUST) has suffered a 10% drop. Other altcoins such as THORChain (RUNE) also fell by 10%, while Jupiter (JUPITER) and the Ethereum naming service (ENS) decreased by 8% and 9% respectively.
Among the largest-cap cryptocurrencies, the biggest losers are Solana (SOL) with a decrease of 8%, (Exchange rate risk) down 6%, Cardano (ADA) down 4%, and both Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE) recording a decrease of 4.4%.
Data from CoinGlass indicates that approximately 67,000 traders have been negatively impacted by this increased volatility. BTC positions have seen $61.85 million in liquidations, while ETH positions have faced $61 million. In total, the value of liquidated positions stands at $225.4 million at the time of writing.
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Riot Platforms Sees 52% Drop in Bitcoin Production in Q2
Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms has released its second-quarter financial results, highlighting a decline in cryptocurrency mined due to the recent halving.
Colorado-based Bitcoin (BTC) mining company Riot platforms revealed its second quarter financial results, highlighting a significant reduction in mined cryptocurrencies attributed to the recent halving event that took place in early April.
The company reported total revenue of $70 million for the quarter ended July 31, a decline of 8.7% compared to the same period in 2023. Riot Platforms attributed the revenue decline primarily to a $9.7 million decrease in engineering revenue, which was partially mitigated by a $6 million increase in Bitcoin extraction income.
During the quarter, the company mined 844 BTC, representing a decline of over 50% from Q2 2023, citing the halving event and increasing network difficulty as major factors behind the decline. Riot Platforms reported a net loss of $84.4 million, or $0.32 per share, missing Zacks Research forecast a loss of $0.16 per share.
Halving increases competitive pressure
The Colorado-based firm said the average cost of mining one BTC in the second quarter, including energy credits, rose to $25,327, a remarkable 341% increase from $5,734 per BTC in the same quarter of 2023. Despite this significant increase in production costs, the firm remains optimistic about maintaining competitiveness through recent deals.
For example, following the Recent acquisition Cryptocurrency firm Block Mining, Riot has increased its distributed hash rate forecast from 31 EH/s to 36 EH/s by the end of 2024, while also increasing its 2025 forecast from 40 EH/s to 56 EH/s.
Riot Platforms Hashrate Growth Projections by 2027 | Source: Riot Platforms
Commenting on the company’s financials, Riot CEO Jason Les said that despite the halving, the mining company still managed to achieve “significant operational growth and execution of our long-term strategy.”
“Despite this reduction in production available to all Bitcoin miners, Riot reported $70 million in revenue for the quarter and maintained strong gross margins in our core Bitcoin mining business.”
Jason Les
Following its Q2 financial report, Riot Platforms shares fell 1.74% to $10.19, according to Google Finance data. Meanwhile, the American miner continues to chase Canadian rival Bitfarms, recently acquiring an additional 10.2 million BITF shares, increasing its stake in Bitfarms to 15.9%.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Riot was the first announced a $950 million takeover bid for Bitfarms in late May, arguing that Bitfarms’ founders were not acting in the best interests of all shareholders. They said their proposal was rejected by Bitfarms’ board without substantive engagement.
In response, Bitfarms She said that Riot’s offer “significantly understates” its growth prospects. Bitfarms subsequently implemented a shareholder rights plan, also known as a “poison pill,” to protect its strategic review process from hostile takeover attempts.
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Aave Price Increases Following Whales Accumulation and V3.1 Launch
Decentralized finance protocol Aave is seeing a significant spike in whale activity as the market looks to recover from the recent crash that pushed most altcoins into key support areas earlier this week.
July 31, Lookonchain shared details indicating that the whales had aggressively accumulated Aave (AAVE) over the past two days. According to the data, whales have withdrawn over 58,848 AAVE worth $6.47 million from exchanges during this period.
In one instance, whale address 0x9af4 withdrew 11,185 AAVE worth $1.23 million from Binance. Meanwhile, another address moved 21,619 AAVE worth over $2.38 million from the exchange and deposited the tokens into Aave.
These withdrawals follow a previous transfer of 26,044 AAVE from whale address 0xd7c5, amounting to over $2.83 million withdrawn from Binance.
AAVE price has surged over 7% in the past 24 hours amid buy-side pressure from these whales. The DeFi token is currently trading around $111 after jumping over 18% in the past week.
Recently, the price of AAVE increased by over 8% after Aave founder Marc Zeller announced a proposed fee change aimed at adopting a buyback program for AAVE tokens.
Aave v3.1 is available
The total value locked in the Aave protocol currently stands at around $22 billion. According to DeFiLlamaApproximately $19.9 billion is on Aave V3, while the V2 chain still holds approximately $1.9 billion in TVL and V1 approximately $14.6 million.
Aave Labs announced Previously, Aave V3.1 was made available on all networks with active Aave V3 instances.
V3.1 features improvements that are intended to improve the overall security of the DeFi protocol. The Aave DAO governance has approved the v3.1 improvements, which also include operational efficiency and usability for the network.
Meanwhile, Aave Labs recently outlined a ambitious roadmap for the projectwith a 2030 vision for Aave V4, among other developments.
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